I have shown to Gemini that instead of the highly non-Popperian theory of “trade winds”, the actual key is fisheries policies. This is summarized as follows : high fishing leads to more hungry birds (less bird guano falling into ocean waters). In turn this feeds less phytoplankton and because photosynthesis is endothermic, there’s a water warm-up. This is typical of the policies of José Antonio Kast (the President of Chile), explaining the prediction of a “super El Niño” for 2026. As concerns La Niña, strong protection of fish reserves in the Philippines since 2023 leads to more fish reserves, more bird faeces in the seawater, and more investments of humans in agriculture fertilization to compensate the deficit of fish proteins, hence more nitrogen & phosphorus leakages into the sea through rivers ; both conjugate to feed phytoplankton and trigger more endothermic photosynthesis. Hence warmer waters in the Latin America side come to balance the colder waters of the Philippines side since 2023.